Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

Total Volume

$139.32K

Events

Markets

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September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

Vol

$139.32K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $139.32K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $139.32K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$139.32K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Sep 2026 If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: X or Y then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Sep 2026

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: X or Y then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decima"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $139.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $24.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $16.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $15.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

Volume$139.32K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal

KALSHI

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decima

KALSHI

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decima

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal

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9¢

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September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

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Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

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Events (1)

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

Markets (12)

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be 0.5% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.4% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Sep 2026?

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