$999.22
1
5
$999.22
1
5
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ELITES and Satriales in the CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage, scheduled for January 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ELITES" if ELITES win the match against Satriales. This market will resolve to "Satriales" if Satriales win the match against ELITES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to
Prediction markets currently price ELITES as the narrow favorite to win this Counter-Strike match, with their contract trading at approximately 52%. This implies the market sees a 52% probability that ELITES will defeat Satriales in this CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage match. A 52% chance suggests the market views this as a virtual coin flip, with ELITES holding only a slight perceived edge. The "Map 2 Winner" sub-market is also priced at 52%, indicating a similarly tight outlook for that individual map. With only about $1,000 in total volume across related markets, liquidity is thin, meaning these odds are more susceptible to sharp moves with new information or bets.
The near-even pricing reflects the competitive nature of tier-two South American Counter-Strike and the specific context of this tournament. The CCT South America Series is a recurring online event where teams like these compete for prize money and ranking points. Both ELITES and Satriales are regional contenders, and matches in this circuit are often closely contested. The group stage format, a best-of-three series, tests map pool depth and tactical preparation, areas where neither squad has demonstrated consistent dominance over the other in recent play. The minimal price difference suggests bettors see no significant skill gap, likely viewing recent form, map veto strategies, and individual player performance on the day as decisive.
Given the low liquidity, the odds are highly sensitive to last-minute information. A confirmed roster change, such as a stand-in player for either team announced before the January 15 match, could shift probabilities meaningfully. Pre-match analyst predictions or insights from practice sessions leaking into the betting community could also move the line. Furthermore, the outcome of each team's preceding match in the group stage, if played shortly before this one, will provide critical live form data that the current market does not incorporate. Since this is a group stage match, strategic considerations like playoff qualification scenarios could influence a team's motivation or approach, potentially affecting the outcome.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns a professional Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) match scheduled for January 15, 2025, at 11:00 AM Eastern Time. The match is a best-of-three series (BO3) between the Brazilian esports organizations ELITES and Satriales, competing in the Group Stage of the CCT South America Series #7. The CCT (Championship of Champions Tour) is a global series of online and offline tournaments organized by Eden Esports and Relog Media, with the South America Series #7 offering a prize pool and qualification points for larger events. This specific market resolves based on which team wins the match, providing a financial instrument for speculating on the competitive outcome. The interest in this market stems from the growing ecosystem of esports betting and prediction markets, where fans and analysts leverage knowledge of team form, player rosters, and map pools to forecast results. Matches in the CCT circuit are closely watched as they often feature rising regional talent and established squads vying for prestige and progression in the tournament bracket. The outcome of this group stage match will directly impact each team's standing within their group, influencing their chances of advancing to the playoff stage and securing a larger share of the tournament's $50,000 prize pool.
The rivalry between Brazilian Counter-Strike organizations is deep-rooted, with the region producing legendary teams like MIBR, FURIA, and Imperial. The CCT South America Series began in 2022 as part of a broader effort to create a structured, year-long circuit for the region, providing consistent competitive opportunities beyond the continent's premier league, the ESL Challenger League. The seventh iteration of this series continues this mission. Historically, ELITES and Satriales have been mid-tier contenders within the Brazilian scene, often competing in similar online tournaments and domestic qualifiers. Their direct head-to-head record, though not extensively documented in premier events, contributes to the narrative of this match. Past performances in CCT events can offer insights, as teams that perform well in these series often use them as springboards to qualify for larger, international LAN events. The group stage format, a standard in esports, means every match is crucial for securing a favorable seed in the playoffs, adding historical pressure to these early encounters.
Beyond the immediate match result, this event matters as a barometer for the health and competitiveness of the South American CS2 scene. Consistent, well-organized tournaments like the CCT series are vital for developing talent and providing teams with the experience needed to compete globally. For the players and organizations involved, success translates to prize money, visibility for potential sponsors, and improved rankings for future invitations. For the broader esports economy, prediction markets on matches like this represent a growing intersection of fandom, analytics, and finance. They allow for the quantification of crowd wisdom on competitive outcomes and create engagement mechanisms beyond simple viewership. The data generated from betting and prediction activity can also inform analyses of team performance and market valuations within esports.
As of the market creation date, the match is scheduled to be played on January 15, 2025. Both teams are presumed to be preparing their strategies and reviewing demos of their opponent's recent matches. The rosters for each team, as listed on official tournament pages, are expected to be final. The market is active, allowing participants to trade shares based on their assessment of each team's likelihood of winning. All attention is focused on the scheduled start time, with the result to be determined by the official match outcome reported by the tournament organizer.
According to the market rules, if the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the original scheduled date (January 15, 2025) without a winner being determined, the prediction market will resolve to 'Canceled'. Rescheduling within that 7-day window would not trigger this cancellation.
CCT matches are typically broadcast on streaming platforms like Twitch or YouTube. The official Eden Esports or Relog Media channels, or the tournament's page on the Manifesto platform, will provide specific stream links for the South America Series #7.
In a BO3, the two teams play a series of maps (individual game levels). Each team selects one map, and a third map is decider, often chosen through a ban/pick process. The first team to win two maps wins the entire match.
CCT stands for the Championship of Champions Tour. It is a global circuit of CS2 tournaments organized by Eden Esports and Relog Media, featuring regional online series that feed into larger global finals, providing a consistent competitive structure outside of the top-tier partner leagues.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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5 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 28% |
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