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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

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Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

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markets · $0.00

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15 markets tracked

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?	Kalshi	100%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?	Kalshi	100%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?	Kalshi	100%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	83%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?	Kalshi	56%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.4%?	Kalshi	55%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.6%?	Kalshi	54%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.8%?	Kalshi	45%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	44%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.2%?	Kalshi	40%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.4%?	Kalshi	2%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 4.2%?	Kalshi	1%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	1%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.8%?	Kalshi	1%
Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.6%?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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100%

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About This Event

Q1 2026 If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q1 2026

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 

4.2

, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 4.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 4.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 3.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets15

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KALSHI

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 1.8 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 1.6 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 1.4 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 2 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

If Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 is above 2.2 , then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

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Events (1)

Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

Markets (15)

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

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Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.8%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.0%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

Will Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026 be above 2.2%?

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