Name: Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On) | PredictPedia

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10 markets tracked

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	100%
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $590.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $103.5K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $61.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $94.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $26.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $98.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mistral have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $112.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $63.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $26.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $28.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $62.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $17.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Markets (10)

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

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