Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$136.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Vol

$136.71K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $136.71K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $136.71K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	63%
Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	39%
Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hsiao Wen-kan win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$136.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Taipei mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be determined under the contract's Payout Criterion.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tang Hsin-min wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $136.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $80.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hsiao Wen-kan win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2027): Vol $56.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Volume$136.71K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can b

KALSHI

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

If Shen Bo-yang wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be

KALSHI

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

If Tang Hsin-min wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can b

KALSHI

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

If Lin Chih-cheng wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can

KALSHI

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

If Kuo Hsi wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the outcome can be dete

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4Ci3BB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Taipei mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Markets (6)

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Lin Chih-cheng win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Will Kuo Hsi win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget