Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner

Total Volume

$4.11K

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner

Vol

$4.11K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.11K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.11K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins	Kalshi	67%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins	Kalshi	12%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins	Kalshi	8%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins	Kalshi	4%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Thalia Cervantes wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Tatev Abrahamyan wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Nazi Paikidze wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Jennifer Yu wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Anna Zatonskih wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rose Atwell wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Anna Sargsyan wins	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$4.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

U.S. Women's Chess Championship (2026) If X wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** U.S. Women's Chess Championship (2026)

If X wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Thalia Cervantes wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorize"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Thalia Cervantes wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Tatev Abrahamyan wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rose Atwell wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Nazi Paikidze wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $486
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Jennifer Yu wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Anna Zatonskih wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Anna Sargsyan wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner

Volume$4.11K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHISports

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

If Alice Lee wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endo

KALSHI

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHISports

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

If Carissa Yip wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, en

KALSHI

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

If Rachael Li wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, end

KALSHI

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

If Irina Krush wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, en

KALSHI

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

If Megan Paragua wins the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship originally scheduled from Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized,

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9¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4Dg6br" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner"></iframe>

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2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

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About This Event

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Events (1)

U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner

Markets (12)

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

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2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

U.S. Women's Chess Championship Winner

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Alice Lee wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Carissa Yip wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Rachael Li wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Irina Krush wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship chess tournament: Megan Paragua wins

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