Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Name: Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.20M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Vol

$1.20M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.20M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.20M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	96%
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$1.20M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (80 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.20M
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 102.63)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $790.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $59.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $306.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports