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Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Name: Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Vol

$13.22K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.22K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	38%
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	25%
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	25%
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$13.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (169 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $924
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $907
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $726
  DATA: [Yes: 34.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $532
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $383
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $442
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $523
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $549
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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