Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket contract asks whether "The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET" [1]. It resolves "Yes" if that happens by the stated deadline and "No" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is described as "a consensus of credible sources" [1]. The rule text does not define what counts as the Second Coming, so the wording of the contract is the only definition available here.

The rule text and the provider's listed end time are two different fields. The rules give the deadline in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is recorded as 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the same moment as 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, so the two describe one deadline in different formats. The listed end time is a closing timestamp, not evidence that an event has occurred or been scheduled.

Reading the snapshot

This snapshot was observed at 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z and retrieved at 2026-10-13T04:23:18.855Z. The contract status was recorded as active [1]. The saved prices were 0.0135 for "Yes" and 0.9865 for "No" [1]. These are provider snapshot prices at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the outcomes are binary and their prices sum to 1.0000, the "Yes" price is the only figure needed to describe the snapshot.

The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. That means this is the full saved field for this event, though the provider's sample warning notes that it does not establish that every possible outcome is listed [1]. No other platform's price is available here, so no cross-platform comparison is made.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show why the price stood at this level, how many traders hold each position, or how much liquidity sits behind the quote. The volume figure is not included in the supplied excerpt, so no conclusion about trading activity is drawn. The snapshot does not reflect prices after the observation time.

The evidence also does not establish how the resolution source will judge any future event, and it contains no information about any announced developments. The contract has not resolved, and nothing in the supplied material indicates an outcome. Readers should check the provider page for any later status change.

References

1. Polymarket: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z.