Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Team Total
K 29.73 contracts
1
14
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Team Total
K 29.73 contracts
1
14
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 29.73 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
14
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
CLE vs TB (Oct 19) If Tampa Bay scores X runs in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event, titled "Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Team Total," groups separate Yes/No contracts that each ask whether one team will exceed a set number of runs. The rules state: "If Tampa Bay scores X runs in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The same source says the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1]. The word "originally" matters, because the rules do not describe what happens if the game is rescheduled, and this evidence does not address that case.
The listed end time is inconsistent across fields. The provider excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1], while each market record carries an endDate of 2026-10-23T00:08:00.000Z. These are different kinds of timestamps and should not be treated as the game time or the resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T03:46:56Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not live quotes or executable prices.
Within this event, the Yes prices fall as the run threshold rises. For Tampa Bay, Yes is 0.79 for over 1.5 runs, 0.64 for over 2.5 runs, and 0.33 for over 4.5 runs. For Cleveland, Yes is 0.73 for over 1.5 runs, 0.56 for over 2.5 runs, and 0.12 for over 6.5 runs. Each threshold is a separate contract, so these figures should be read one at a time rather than combined or averaged.
Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. A difference between two contracts' prices is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity, since their wording, thresholds, and rules may differ.
What remains uncertain
The sample is partial. The provider event contains 14 markets, and 12 are included, selected by highest finite Yes price and then by volume [1]. The two omitted markets are not shown, so the evidence does not reveal their prices, and no omitted outcome should be assumed cheaper or more expensive. The evidence also does not explain why any price is where it is, reports no trader counts, and contains no news about the teams or the game.
References
- Kalshi: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Team Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This article covers a Kalshi team total contract tied to a Cleveland versus Tampa Bay professional baseball game. The provider describes the game as "originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT" [1]. Each market in the event asks whether one team will score more than a given number of runs. The rule stated by the provider is that "If Tampa Bay scores X runs" in that game, "then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The same provider rules say the market will close and expire after the event occurs [1]. The contract therefore depends on the runs scored by one team in one game, not on the outcome of the game itself. The event lists separate markets for Tampa Bay and for Cleveland, each at several run thresholds, from over 1.5 runs up to over 6.5 runs [1]. Each market has a Yes and a No side. The prices in the dated snapshot run from about 0.79 for Tampa Bay over 1.5 runs down to about 0.12 for Cleveland over 6.5 runs. These prices are snapshots from the provider, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The provider listed this event as active at the time of retrieval, but it did not supply a listed end time [1]. The sample is partial. The provider event contains 14 markets, and 12 are included in this snapshot [1]. The two omitted markets are not shown, so this article does not describe their prices or compare them with the included markets. The included markets are the highest-ranked by Yes price within this one provider event, so they should not be read as the full field. The two Wikipedia pages in the source set describe the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a National Football League team [2][3]. They do not describe this baseball game or the contract, so they do not bear on how these markets resolve.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single team's run total in one scheduled baseball game. Each threshold market answers a narrow question: whether that team will score more runs than the stated number [1]. Traders and readers can use the snapshot prices to see how the provider's market priced each threshold at one moment, but the prices reflect only the observed time and the included markets [1]. Because the markets resolve on the scored runs of one team, they do not measure which team will win or the final score margin.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event must happen for a team total market to resolve to Yes?
The provider states that if the named team scores more runs than the threshold in the Cleveland versus Tampa Bay game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The market closes and expires after the event occurs [1].
Does a price of 0.79 mean a 79 percent chance of the outcome?
The supplied prices are snapshots from the provider and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes [1]. They show the provider's listed price at the observed time only.
Are all possible run thresholds included in this snapshot?
No. The provider event has 14 markets and this sample includes 12 of them [1]. The omitted markets are not shown, so the sample should not be treated as the complete field.
Do the Buccaneers Wikipedia pages relate to this contract?
The supplied Wikipedia pages describe the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a National Football League team [2][3]. They do not describe the baseball game or the contract rules, so they are not evidence for how this market resolves.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense
PM $0
Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Offense
PM $0
Pro Football: Tampa Bay Total Wins
K 156.0K contracts
Pro Football: Team Wins in First 12 Weeks
K 39.2K contracts
Total Games: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay
K 4.2K contracts
Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 1st Half Team Total
K 21.21 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
