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Events
GroupKALSHI

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?
Vol

K 112.35 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 48° to 49° at 40.5%.

Kalshi

  1. 48° to 49°40.5%
  2. 46° to 47°30%
  3. 50° to 51°13%
  4. 52° or above4.5%
  5. 44° to 45°4.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 112.35 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 21, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City, CLINYC, for Oct 21, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above. The Last Trading Time will be 11:59 PM local time on October 21, 2026 regardless of any data releases or events occurring. Expiration will occur on the sooner of the first 7:00 or 8:00 AM ET following the release of the data for October 21, 2026, or one week after October 21, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 21?

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 21?

PM $731.88
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 21?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?Yes 18%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?

K 854.92 contracts
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 15.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 20, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 20, 2026?

K 9.5K contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?

K 51.5K contracts
Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 95%
Will it rain in San Francisco on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 78.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 21, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 21, 2026?

K 70.28 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >60° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 30%
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 21, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 21, 2026?

K 36.56 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be >54° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 30%
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 30%
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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