GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	95%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	88%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	80%
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Tarcisio de Frietas be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the next first round If X Y Z is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will run for President of Brazil?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In the next first round

If X Y Z is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tarcisio de Frietas is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tarcisio de Frietas be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Volume$0.00

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.2¢No 4.8¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

If Renan Santos is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.1¢No 11.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

If Flávio Bolsonaro is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

If Jair Bolsonaro is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

If Ratinho Júnior is on the official ballot for the next Brazilian Presidential election first round, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

40¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4VHLjp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will run for President of Brazil?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Markets (7)

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Will Ratinho Júnior be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget