$22.16K
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$22.16K
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for March 2 at 12:30 PM ET.
Prediction markets currently view Monday's Serie A match between Pisa SC and Bologna FC 1909 as a true toss-up. Traders collectively assign a 50% chance to a Bologna victory. This means the market sees the outcome as essentially a coin flip, with neither team holding a clear advantage according to collective intelligence. The even odds suggest a highly uncertain and potentially close contest.
The even pricing reflects the unusual circumstances of this match. First, this is a rare Serie A meeting. Pisa SC, while a historic club, has spent recent years in Serie B. Their presence in Italy's top flight for the 2025/26 season is itself an unexpected event, making their form against established teams hard to gauge. Bologna, in contrast, has been a consistent mid-table Serie A side with recent European competition experience.
Second, the location matters. Pisa will have home-field advantage at the Arena Garibaldi, which can be a difficult venue for visitors. However, Bologna's overall squad quality and league experience likely balance out that home support. Finally, with the match happening late in the season, immediate team motivations like avoiding relegation or chasing European spots could heavily influence performance, adding another layer of uncertainty that markets are pricing in.
The key event is the match itself, kicking off on Monday, March 2, 2026. The main factor that could shift predictions before then is team news released on match day. Official announcements regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or even starting lineups could cause the odds to move significantly. For example, if Bologna's star striker or Pisa's primary defender is ruled out, the market probability would likely react within minutes.
Prediction markets are generally reliable for forecasting sporting events, often matching or exceeding the accuracy of expert pundits and traditional betting odds. They aggregate many informed viewpoints. However, for a specific match like this, their main limitation is susceptibility to last-minute information. A surprise lineup change or an undisclosed injury can make pre-game probabilities quickly outdated. The 50% price here honestly reflects high uncertainty, which is often a sign the market is weighing the known variables appropriately.
Prediction markets assign a 50% probability to Bologna FC 1909 defeating Pisa SC in their Serie A match on March 2, 2026. This exact 50/50 pricing on Polymarket, with a total volume of just $31,000, indicates a market with thin liquidity and no clear consensus. A coin-flip probability suggests the available data and trader sentiment are perfectly balanced between the two outcomes. It reflects high uncertainty, not a strong belief in an evenly matched contest.
The primary factor is the significant league disparity between the clubs. As of the 2025-26 season, Bologna is an established Serie A side, while Pisa competes in Serie B. Markets typically price a top-flight team as a heavy favorite against a lower-division opponent. The even odds here directly contradict that norm. This pricing likely stems from the specific context of the match being a pre-season friendly or a cup fixture not governed by league status, where team selection and motivation are unpredictable. The low trading volume confirms this is a speculative market without the weight of serious fundamental analysis seen in league matches.
Any official announcement regarding team squads or managerial intent for this match would immediately shift the odds. If Bologna confirms it will field its first-team squad, its share price would surge from 50¢. Conversely, news of Bologna using only youth players would cause its probability to plummet. The odds are highly sensitive because they are based on an information vacuum. The market will remain volatile and driven by rumor until concrete lineups are published, likely on match day. This is a classic low-liquidity scenario where a single piece of news can cause a major price swing.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on additional betting markets for the Serie A match between Pisa SC and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for March 2 at 12:30 PM Eastern Time. While the primary match outcome market is common, 'More Markets' refers to the expanded range of specific propositions available for wagering. These can include exact score predictions, player-specific bets like which individual will score first, total goals over/under thresholds, and in-game events such as the timing of the first goal or the number of yellow cards issued. The availability of these markets reflects the growing sophistication of sports betting and the demand for more granular predictions beyond simple win/lose/draw outcomes. The match itself is a Serie A fixture, Italy's top professional football league. Bologna FC 1909 is an established top-flight club, while Pisa SC, based in Tuscany, is a team with a history of moving between Serie A and Serie B. Their meeting is a league match with implications for the standings, European qualification for Bologna, and relegation avoidance for Pisa. Interest in these markets comes from sports bettors, football analysts, and fans looking to engage more deeply with the tactical and statistical nuances of the game. The specific timing places the match in a weekend fixture slot common in European football.
The history between Pisa and Bologna is not a major derby but represents a classic clash between a historically mid-table top-division club and a provincial team with a fluctuating league status. Bologna FC 1909 was a founding member of Serie A in 1929 and has spent the majority of its history in the top flight, winning seven Scudetti, though the last was in 1964. The club has experienced financial difficulties and relegations in the 21st century but has recently stabilized under the ownership of Saputo Inc. since 2014. Pisa SC's history is defined by volatility. The club achieved its most notable success in the late 1980s under coach Giampiero Vitali, featuring players like Diego Simeone and finishing as high as 7th in Serie A in 1987. However, financial collapse led to multiple relegations, including a drop to the fourth tier in the 1990s. The modern Pisa SC, refounded in 2009, has climbed back to Serie A. Their last Serie A meeting prior to the 2023-24 season likely occurred in the late 1980s or early 1990s, making this a rare top-flight encounter in recent decades. This historical disparity adds context to the match dynamics and betting odds.
Beyond the sporting result, the activity in these prediction markets represents a significant economic segment. The global sports betting industry was valued at over $83 billion in 2022, with football being the most popular sport for wagering. Specific proposition markets like these drive higher engagement and handle for betting operators. For the clubs, the match's outcome has direct financial consequences through Serie A's merit-based prize money distribution, which allocates hundreds of millions of euros annually based on final league position. A win for Bologna could be worth approximately €2.1 million in additional prize money as they chase a Champions League place, while a point for Pisa could aid their survival bid, potentially preserving the estimated €50-70 million in annual revenue that comes with Serie A status. For the city of Pisa, maintaining a top-flight club boosts local tourism, business for restaurants and bars on matchdays, and civic pride. The match is also a data point in the broader analytics-driven evaluation of players and coaches, influencing future transfer values and managerial reputations.
As of late February 2024, Bologna FC 1909 is having an exceptional season, sitting in 4th place in the Serie A table and challenging for a UEFA Champions League qualification spot. Their form has been strong, with key players like Zirkzee and Lewis Ferguson performing consistently. Pisa SC is in a relegation battle, positioned in the bottom half of the table. Their recent form has been inconsistent, characterized by a struggle to score goals while trying to maintain defensive resilience. The specific team news regarding injuries and suspensions in the days leading up to March 2 will be the final major variable affecting the prediction markets. The official match odds and proposition market lines are being set and adjusted by major sportsbooks based on this incoming information.
The match is scheduled for 12:30 PM ET on March 2, which corresponds to 6:30 PM Central European Time (CET) in Italy. Serie A evening fixtures typically kick off at this time on weekends.
In Italy, the match will be broadcast on DAZN, which holds the domestic rights to Serie A. International viewers should check local sports networks like Paramount+ in the United States or other regional Serie A rights holders.
Common proposition markets include Both Teams to Score (Yes/No), Total Goals Over/Under (e.g., 2.5 goals), Correct Score, First Goalscorer, Anytime Goalscorer, Half-Time/Full-Time result, and Total Corners Over/Under. Player-specific cards markets are also popular.
Given that this is a rare recent meeting between the clubs in Serie A, it is unlikely Zirkzee has faced Pisa in a competitive match. Bettors should evaluate his current form and Pisa's defensive record instead of historical head-to-head data against this specific opponent.
Pisa SC plays its home matches at the Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, which has a capacity of approximately 14,000 spectators. A sold-out crowd can create a significant home atmosphere.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 69% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 42% |
| Poly | 24% |
| Poly | 21% |
| Poly | 10% |
| Poly | 10% |
| Poly | 7% |
| Poly | 4% |
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