Zero Tenacity vs. PuckChamp: Map 2 Winner
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Zero Tenacity at 48%.
Kalshi
- Zero Tenacity48%
- PuckChamp48%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
This analysis was written from an earlier market snapshot, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed Nov 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied source is a Kalshi event page for map 2 of the DreamLeague Division 2 2026 match between Zero Tenacity and PuckChamp, originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST [1]. The rules state that if "X wins map 2" the market "resolves to Yes" [1]. Two binary contracts are included: one for Zero Tenacity winning map 2 and one for PuckChamp winning map 2 [1].
The rules also set out non-standard outcomes. If the map is postponed and "not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time," the market "will resolve to the fair market price" [1]. A map that "begins and is subsequently forfeited" resolves "according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer" [1]. Readers should check these clauses before treating a price as a forecast of a simple win.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is Nov 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, and the source was retrieved on Nov 11, 2026, 2:05 PM UTC [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation, not current trading. They are not executable quotes, and this response does not establish any later price.
At the observation time, the Yes price for Zero Tenacity winning map 2 was 0.59, and the Yes price for PuckChamp winning map 2 was 0.405 [1]. The paired No prices were 0.41 and 0.595 [1]. Because the two contracts are separate binary markets, their prices should not be averaged or merged into one probability. The Yes prices do not sum to exactly 1, and this snapshot does not show why. Any gap is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity, because fees, spreads, and executability are not in the evidence.
The market-level end date field lists Nov 11, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC for both contracts [1]. The same source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" and that the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The contract rules, not the listed date, govern closing and resolution.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, whether the map was played, postponed, or forfeited, or the current status of either contract. It also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. Coverage is limited to the two saved contracts for this event, and the source warns that it does not establish that every possible outcome is listed [1]. No explanation for the observed prices is available in the supplied evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Zero Tenacity vs. PuckChamp: Map 2 Winner. Provider data observed Nov 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market on map 2 of the Dota 2 match between Zero Tenacity and PuckChamp, part of the DreamLeague Division 2 2026 event. The saved event record describes the match as originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST [1]. The market is framed as a yes or no question about which team wins that specific map, not about the overall match result [1]. The saved record lists two markets for this event: one that pays out on Zero Tenacity winning map 2, and one that pays out on PuckChamp winning map 2 [1]. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome. In the saved snapshot, the Yes price for Zero Tenacity was higher than the Yes price for PuckChamp. These are observed values from a saved record, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as the current price. The saved event is the complete set of markets for this event in the supplied record, and it covers both possible map winners. The contract rules describe how each market settles. If the named team wins map 2, the market resolves to Yes [1]. If the relevant match or map is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to the fair market price instead [1]. The same fair market price treatment applies if a match or map is cancelled before play begins, or if a match or map is forfeited before any play occurs [1]. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the rules say the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer [1]. The rules also state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which team wins map 2 of a specified DreamLeague Division 2 2026 Dota 2 match [1]. Because it is tied to one map rather than the full series, it reflects only that map's result under the stated rules. The rules also define how the market behaves when a map is delayed, cancelled, or forfeited, which matters for anyone reading the saved prices, since those outcomes do not simply produce a win for either side [1]. The saved record notes that the event is not affiliated with the governing league, and that the listed end time was not supplied in the event record [1]. The market data does carry an end date of November 11, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, which is a field in the saved market record and should not be read as an announced event date [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the Yes outcome pay out?
For each market, the Yes outcome corresponds to the named team winning map 2 of the specified match [1].
What happens if the map is postponed?
If the relevant map or match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to the fair market price [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a team will win?
The prices are snapshots taken from a saved provider record, so they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the governing league?
The saved contract text states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
