Zero Tenacity vs. PuckChamp: Map 1 Winner
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Zero Tenacity at 48%.
Kalshi
- Zero Tenacity48%
- PuckChamp48%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
This analysis was written from an earlier market snapshot, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a specific game will be won by one side. The rules state that if a team wins map 1 of the DreamLeague Division 2 2026 Zero Tenacity vs. PuckChamp Dota 2 match, "originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST," the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event includes two markets: one for "Zero Tenacity wins map 1" and one for "PuckChamp wins map 1" [1].
The rules also set fallback outcomes. If the map or match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its original start time, the market resolves to the fair market price. The same applies to cancellation before play begins and to forfeiture before any play occurs. If a map starts and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer [1]. The rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. The source was retrieved on 2026-11-12, so these figures describe the saved provider observation, not live trading. For Zero Tenacity, the Yes price was 0.62 and the No price was 0.38. For PuckChamp, the Yes price was 0.365 and the No price was 0.635 [1]. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1 within that market, but the two Yes prices across the two markets do not need to be read as a single probability split.
Each market lists an end date of Nov 11, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC [1]. The source also says the listed end time was "not supplied" in the provider status line, so that timestamp should be treated as a provider field rather than a confirmed closing event. Neither the observation time nor the listed end time shows that the match has been played or resolved.
The coverage record shows that both saved markets for this event were included, with no partial sample [1]. That covers only the saved provider event. The source notes that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not show the match result, any postponement or forfeiture, or the current price. It also does not explain why the prices were where they were. Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the volume data is not supplied here, so liquidity cannot be judged. Readers should not treat the price difference between the two contracts as an arbitrage opportunity without current, executable quotes.
References
- Kalshi: Zero Tenacity vs. PuckChamp: Map 1 Winner. Provider data observed Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market on the first map of a Dota 2 match between Zero Tenacity and PuckChamp, played in the DreamLeague Division 2 2026 event. The rules say the match was originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST [1]. The market asks whether a specific team wins map 1 of that match, not whether it wins the full match [1]. The saved record includes two markets under this event, one for Zero Tenacity winning map 1 and one for PuckChamp winning map 1 [1]. Each market has Yes and No outcomes. Under the rules, the Zero Tenacity market resolves to Yes if Zero Tenacity wins map 1, and the PuckChamp market works the same way for PuckChamp [1]. The market states that it closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record also lists an end date for each market, but the rules describe closing by the declared winner, and that listed date is a field in the saved data rather than an announced event schedule [1]. The rules also cover cases where the result is not a normal win. If the match or map is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to the fair market price. The same applies if the match or map is cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs [1]. If a map starts and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer [1]. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which team wins map 1 in one scheduled match. Because the two saved markets are tied to the same map, their prices reflect how the market trades on each side of that one result [1]. A price in this context is a market snapshot. It is not a verified probability of either team winning, and it is not an executable quote. The contract's rules determine resolution, including how postponements, cancellations and forfeits are handled, so the rules matter as much as the headline question [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event decides whether the Yes side pays out?
The Zero Tenacity market resolves to Yes if Zero Tenacity wins map 1 of the match originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST [1].
What happens if the map is postponed?
If the match or map is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to the fair market price [1].
How is a map that starts but is later forfeited settled?
The market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer [1].
When does this market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record also lists an end date, but the rules tie closing to the declared winner rather than to that date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
