Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Name: Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
End: 2029-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Vol

$24.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Poly	31%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Poly	18%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$24.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Na

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2029 (813 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Na

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $41.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2029): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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