Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

$Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?$

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Total Volume

$588.54

Events

1

Markets

2

Trade on Polymarket

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

$Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?$

Vol

$588.54

|

Events

1

|

Markets

2

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$588.54

Volume

2

Markets

1

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. I

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

68¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

0

Cross-Platform

0

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?	Poly	76%
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?	Poly	60%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. I

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $589
* **Total Liquidity:** $507
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $527
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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