Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Name: Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.21M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Vol

$1.21M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.21M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.21M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

71 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(71)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	34%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	14%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	13%
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	12%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	11%
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	11%
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	10%
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	10%
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	10%
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	8%
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	7%
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

Top Probability

$1.21M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (79 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.21M
* **Total Liquidity:** $831.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.45)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $88.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $54.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $19.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $65.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $25.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $26.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $17.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $19.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $36.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $7.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $15.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $58.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $29.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $11.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $17.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $11.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $70.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $38.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 56. Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 57. Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 58. Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $26.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 59. Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 60. Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 61. Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $15.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 62. Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $30.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 63. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $17.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 64. Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $39.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 65. Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 66. Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 67. Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 68. Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $26.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 69. Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $22.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 70. Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 71. Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
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*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
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- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
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