Name: CA-17 Primary Winners
End: 2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z

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CA-17 Primary Winners | PredictPedia

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4 markets tracked

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?	Poly	95%
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?	Poly	52%
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?	Poly	44%
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?	Poly	21%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CA-17 Primary Winners
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 2, 2026 (138 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take pl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.63)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $19.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

137d 13h remaining

Jun 02, 2026 12:00 AM

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Average Yes Price

53¢

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Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

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Events (1)

CA-17 Primary Winners

Markets (4)

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

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Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

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CA-17 Primary Winners

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

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