Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

Name: Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.70K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?	Poly	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$5.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 tha"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Up: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [Down: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

1d 11h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4k8-a6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)