Name: Will gas hit__ by end of March?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Will gas hit__ by end of March? | PredictPedia

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8 markets tracked

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?	Poly	2%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?	Poly	0%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will gas hit__ by end of March?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently foun

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $589.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $76.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $96.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $118.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $65.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $31.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $43.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will gas hit (Low) $3.10 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $176.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $30.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $26.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Will gas hit__ by end of March?

Markets (8)

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will gas hit__ by end of March?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

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