Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

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Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

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Polymarket

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4 markets tracked

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	19%
Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	14%
Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	8%
Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

19%

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$0.00

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About This Event

MAN vs TFC (Oct 16) If Toulouse wins by more than X goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MAN vs TFC (Oct 16)

If Toulouse wins by more than X goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associ"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associ

KALSHI

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associa

KALSHI

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associ

KALSHI

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associa

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4oQxVr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread"></iframe>

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Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

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Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Events (1)

Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

Markets (4)

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Le Mans vs Toulouse: Spread

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Le Mans wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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