This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

Name: Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$232.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

Vol

$232.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $232.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $232.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	80%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	72%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	69%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	61%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	38%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	28%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	27%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$232.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which po

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which po

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $232.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $46.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $23.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $24.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $49.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $43.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $17.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $9.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $20.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance