Name: Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above___?
End: 2026-03-06T21:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above___? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.80K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.80K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?	Poly	80%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $250?	Poly	69%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?	Poly	53%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $255?	Poly	53%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $270?	Poly	46%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?	Poly	43%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $275?	Poly	40%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $280?	Poly	35%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $285?	Poly	33%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $290?	Poly	19%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $300?	Poly	12%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $295?	Poly	2%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $305?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$3.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 6, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $285?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $300?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $362
  DATA: [Yes: 11.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $250?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $280?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $295?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $573
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $255?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $270?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $275?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $290?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 19.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $305?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance