Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Name: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
End: 2026-10-16T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$760.52

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Vol

$760.52

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $760.52

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $760.52

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Poly	53%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Poly	52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	52%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)	Poly	52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Poly	52%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)	Poly	51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5	Poly	51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	51%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner	Poly	51%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	Poly	51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)	Poly	49%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	38%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$760.52

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Semifinal match between 100 Thieves and G2 Esports in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Semifinal match between 100 Thieves and G2 Esports in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against G2 Esports.

This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against 100 Thieves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Semifinal match between 100 Thieves and G2 Esports in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against G2 Esports.

This market will resolve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $761
* **Total Liquidity:** $29.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $761
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [G2 Esports: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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