Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

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When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

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Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)	Kalshi	71%
Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)	Kalshi	53%
Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)	Kalshi	30%

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71%

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About This Event

Before 2027 If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes, in the House, Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes, in the House, Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes:
Roll call votes
Recorded votes
Yea-and-nay votes
Electronic votes (in the House)
Division/standing votes

The followi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

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KALSHI

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The followi

KALSHI

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before Dec 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The follow

KALSHI

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on the Protect College Sports Act after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The followi

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Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

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Events (1)

When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

Markets (3)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

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Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 15, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

Will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

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