Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

Name: Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.24K

Events

Markets

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Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

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Polymarket

markets · $3.24K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.24K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$3.24K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that restricts, limits, or bans the purchasing of single-family homes by institutional investors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Institutional investors refers to large-scale business entities that purchase single-family homes in great quantities for investment purposes. Examples of such firms include Invitation Homes, Blackstone,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (74 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that restricts, limits, or bans the purchasing of single-family homes by institutional investors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Institutional investors refers to large-scale business entities that purchase single-family homes in great quantities for investment purposes. Examples of such firms include Invitation Homes, Blackstone, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that restricts, limits, or bans the purchasing of single-family homes by institutional investors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Inst"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

73d 11h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

31¢

Polymarket

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Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

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Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)