Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: P11 Esports vs Deacoy (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Total Volume
$8.75K
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: P11 Esports vs Deacoy (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $8.75K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $8.75K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
LoL: P11 Esports vs Deacoy (BO1)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 45% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
45%
Top Probability
$8.75K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market will resolve to "P11 Esports" if P11 Esports win against Deacoy in the named LoL match in the LIT Regular Season, scheduled for January 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Deacoy" if Deacoy win against P11 Esports in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official informat
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a narrow advantage for P11 Esports, with their contract trading at 57¢, implying a 57% probability of victory. This suggests the market views P11 as the favorite, but the odds indicate a highly competitive match where an upset is a very real possibility. The "Deacoy" contract trades at 43¢, reflecting a 43% implied chance. With only $9,000 in total market volume, liquidity is thin, meaning these odds can be more sensitive to new information or large bets.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The primary factor is likely recent team performance within the LIT Regular Season or other regional competitions. P11 Esports' slight favoritism suggests they may have a stronger record, more stable roster, or a historical edge in head-to-head matchups against Deacoy. In League of Legends Best-of-1 (BO1) formats, volatility is high, but consistent macro-play and draft strategy often separate favorites from underdogs. The market's pricing indicates a perceived, but not decisive, skill gap.
Another factor is the nature of a BO1 match in a regular season. Unlike a playoff series, there is less pressure for a single game, which can sometimes lead to unpredictable strategies or champion picks that favor underdog teams like Deacoy. The market's significant probability assigned to Deacoy (43%) accounts for this inherent BO1 volatility and the potential for an upset through a single superior draft or early-game snowball.
What Could Change These Odds
Given the match resolves in just one day, the key catalyst is any last-minute news before the January 16, 12:00 PM ET start. This includes announced roster changes, player illness, or shifts in the meta that particularly benefit one team's champion pool. In-play betting dynamics on Polymarket could also shift odds dramatically if one team gains a significant early lead in the game itself, as the market will remain open until resolution.
The thin liquidity means a relatively modest bet could move the needle. A series of bets confidently backing Deacoy could quickly push the odds toward a 50/50 split or even flip the favorite. Without deep liquidity, the current 57/43 split represents a fragile consensus that is highly susceptible to new information or capital.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.