Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Total Volume

$281.11

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Markets

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Vol

$281.11

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $281.11

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $281.11

100%

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3 markets tracked

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Over 0.5 1H goals scored

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 0.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	84%
Over 1.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	53%
Over 2.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$281.11

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GRN vs PON (Oct 12) If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GRN vs PON (Oct 12)

If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta  is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $281
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 2.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 1.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 0.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Volume$281.11

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta is more than 0.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following mark

KALSHI

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta is more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following mark

KALSHI

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following mark

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

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Over 0.5 1H goals scored

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Events (1)

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Markets (3)

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Total

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

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