Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
End: 2026-10-21T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$61.38K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Vol

$61.38K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $61.38K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $61.38K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	85%
Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	64%
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	62%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Poly	54%
Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	54%
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Game Spread: Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Arthur Gea (+2.5)	Poly	48%
Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	46%
Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Poly	43%
Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	42%
Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Poly	40%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Poly	39%
Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)	Poly	39%
Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$61.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 21, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jakub Mensik.

This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Arthur Gea.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jakub Mensik.

This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jak"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $61.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $312.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $58.9K
  DATA: [Arthur Gea: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [Jakub Mensik: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Arthur Gea: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Jakub Mensik: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Arthur Gea: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Jakub Mensik: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $272
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Gea vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Over: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Over: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Gea vs. Mensik: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Over: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Jakub Mensik: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Arthur Gea: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Arthur Gea (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Jakub Mensik: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [Arthur Gea: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Volume$61.38K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 54.0¢No 46.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

POLYMARKET

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "

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Oct 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/536FVt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

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Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Gea vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Arthur Gea vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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