Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

Name: People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$124.62K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

Vol

$124.62K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $124.62K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $124.62K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	78%
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$124.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (79 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive.

If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive.

If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no Sexiest Man Aliv"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $124.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $40.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $101.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $953
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $695
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $465
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture