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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ye (Kanye West) makes an antisemitic statement between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" the antisemitic statement must be recorded, either on camera, on his social media, in a press release, etc. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$13.33K
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This prediction market focuses on whether the musician and fashion designer Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, will make an antisemitic statement before March 1, 2026. The market resolves based on a recorded statement, such as a social media post, video, or official release, verified by a consensus of credible sources. The topic exists because Ye has a documented history of making public antisemitic remarks, leading to significant professional and financial consequences. His statements have sparked widespread condemnation, legal disputes, and intense media scrutiny. People are interested in this market because it tracks the behavior of a high-profile figure whose actions have real-world impacts on business partnerships, public discourse, and social tensions. It functions as a speculative gauge on the likelihood of a recurring public controversy. The market period extends from its creation date through the end of February 2026, providing a long observation window for a pattern of behavior that has previously manifested in bursts.
Ye's history of antisemitic commentary became a major international story in October 2022. On October 8, he posted on Twitter (now X) that he would go 'death con 3 On JEWISH PEOPLE.' Earlier that week, he made antisemitic remarks on Instagram. These posts were quickly deleted but were widely screenshotted and reported. The fallout was immediate and severe. Within weeks, Adidas ended its Yeezy partnership, Gap terminated its contract, and Balenciaga cut ties. Talent agency CAA dropped him, and his documentary was shelved. Financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase also severed their banking relationship with him. In December 2022, Ye appeared on Alex Jones's 'InfoWars' program, where he again made antisemitic remarks, saying he saw 'good things about Hitler' and that 'the Jewish media has made us feel like the Nazis and Hitler have never offered anything of value to the world.' This pattern established a clear precedent of using mainstream and alternative media platforms to express antisemitic views. Prior to 2022, Ye had made other controversial statements, but the explicit, repeated antisemitism marked a significant escalation that defined his public identity for that period.
The question matters because antisemitic rhetoric from a figure with Ye's reach of tens of millions of followers can directly influence public sentiment and normalize hate speech. Research from the Anti-Defamation League and others has shown a correlation between Ye's statements and increases in online antisemitic rhetoric and real-world harassment. This has tangible effects on Jewish communities and the broader social fabric. There are also significant economic implications. Ye's past statements vaporized billions in brand value and disrupted global supply chains for companies like Adidas. A future incident could destabilize any new business ventures he attempts, affecting investors, employees, and partners. The market also serves as a barometer for the effectiveness of so-called 'cancel culture' and the durability of consequences for hate speech in the entertainment and business worlds.
As of late 2024, Ye has maintained a lower public profile regarding explicitly antisemitic rhetoric compared to late 2022. He has focused on releasing new music and fashion projects, often with his wife Bianca Censori. However, he has not issued a full retraction or apology for his past statements. In 2024, he made headlines for other controversial actions, including the release of a music video criticized for its imagery. The legal and financial repercussions from 2022 continue, including lawsuits and the ongoing sale of remaining Yeezy inventory by Adidas. The prediction market remains active because the underlying factors that led to his previous statements, including his documented views and willingness to confront controversy, have not been fundamentally resolved.
In October 2022, Ye posted on social media that he would go 'death con 3 On JEWISH PEOPLE.' In a December 2022 interview on InfoWars, he said he saw 'good things about Hitler.' These and other comments falsely blaming Jewish people for controlling media and finance are classic antisemitic tropes.
Major companies that ended partnerships with Ye in late 2022 include Adidas (Yeezy), Balenciaga, Gap, and Foot Locker. His talent agency CAA and bank JPMorgan Chase also severed ties. The Adidas termination was the most financially significant, ending a deal worth about $1.5 billion in annual revenue.
Forbes estimated Ye lost approximately $1.5 billion in net worth, dropping from $2 billion to $500 million. This loss was primarily due to the termination of his Adidas Yeezy partnership, which accounted for nearly all of his wealth on the Forbes list.
As of late 2024, Ye has not issued a direct, unequivocal public apology for his antisemitic statements. He posted a message in Hebrew on Instagram in December 2023 that some interpreted as an apology, but it was vague and not a clear retraction of his specific past remarks.
The market resolves based on a consensus of credible sources. This would likely include major news organizations like Reuters or AP, statements from civil rights groups like the Anti-Defamation League, and verified recordings from Ye's own social media or interviews.
For resolution, a statement must be recorded and contain rhetoric that perpetuates hatred against Jewish people. This includes using antisemitic tropes about power or control, expressing support for historical antisemitic figures, or making violent threats. The final determination rests with the consensus of credible sources.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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