This prediction market focuses on whether the musician and fashion designer Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, will make an antisemitic statement before March 1, 2026. The market resolves based on a recorded statement, such as a social media post, video, or official release, verified by a consensus of credible sources. The topic exists because Ye has a documented history of making public antisemitic remarks, leading to significant professional and financial consequences. His statements have sparked widespread condemnation, legal disputes, and intense media scrutiny. People are interested in this market because it tracks the behavior of a high-profile figure whose actions have real-world impacts on business partnerships, public discourse, and social tensions. It functions as a speculative gauge on the likelihood of a recurring public controversy. The market period extends from its creation date through the end of February 2026, providing a long observation window for a pattern of behavior that has previously manifested in bursts.

Historical Context

Ye's history of antisemitic commentary became a major international story in October 2022. On October 8, he posted on Twitter (now X) that he would go 'death con 3 On JEWISH PEOPLE.' Earlier that week, he made antisemitic remarks on Instagram. These posts were quickly deleted but were widely screenshotted and reported. The fallout was immediate and severe. Within weeks, Adidas ended its Yeezy partnership, Gap terminated its contract, and Balenciaga cut ties. Talent agency CAA dropped him, and his documentary was shelved. Financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase also severed their banking relationship with him. In December 2022, Ye appeared on Alex Jones's 'InfoWars' program, where he again made antisemitic remarks, saying he saw 'good things about Hitler' and that 'the Jewish media has made us feel like the Nazis and Hitler have never offered anything of value to the world.' This pattern established a clear precedent of using mainstream and alternative media platforms to express antisemitic views. Prior to 2022, Ye had made other controversial statements, but the explicit, repeated antisemitism marked a significant escalation that defined his public identity for that period.

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