Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Monagas vs Est. Merida

Total Volume

$1.52K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Monagas vs Est. Merida

Vol

$1.52K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.52K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.52K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Monagas wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Monagas wins	Kalshi	38%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	32%
Est. Merida wins	Kalshi	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$1.52K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

MSC vs EDM (Oct 11) If X wins the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Monagas vs Est. Merida
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MSC vs EDM (Oct 11)

If X wins the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Monagas wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $262
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Est. Merida wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $226
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Monagas vs Est. Merida

Volume$1.52K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Monagas wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Monagas wins

If Monagas wins the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Monagas

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the

KALSHI

Est. Merida wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Est. Merida wins

If Est. Merida wins the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Mona

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/57Q1oY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Monagas vs Est. Merida"></iframe>

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Monagas vs Est. Merida

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Monagas wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Monagas vs Est. Merida

Markets (3)

Monagas wins

Monagas wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Est. Merida wins

Est. Merida wins

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Monagas wins

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Monagas vs Est. Merida

Monagas wins

Monagas wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Est. Merida wins

Est. Merida wins

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