Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Munk Mesa vs Dellien

Total Volume

$14.17K

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Markets

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Munk Mesa vs Dellien

Vol

$14.17K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.17K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.17K

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Hugo Dellien wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Hugo Dellien wins	Kalshi	92%
Bernardo Munk Mesa wins	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$14.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Munk Mesa vs Dellien (Oct 12) If X wins the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancella

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Munk Mesa vs Dellien
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Munk Mesa vs Dellien (Oct 12)

If X wins the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancella

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Bernardo Munk Mesa wins the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bernardo Munk Mesa wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Hugo Dellien wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Munk Mesa vs Dellien

Volume$14.17K

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Hugo Dellien wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHISports

Hugo Dellien wins

If Hugo Dellien wins the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 AT

KALSHI

Bernardo Munk Mesa wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHISports

Bernardo Munk Mesa wins

If Bernardo Munk Mesa wins the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Munk Mesa vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2

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51¢

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Hugo Dellien wins

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Events (1)

Munk Mesa vs Dellien

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Hugo Dellien wins

Hugo Dellien wins

Bernardo Munk Mesa wins

Bernardo Munk Mesa wins

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Hugo Dellien wins

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Munk Mesa vs Dellien

Hugo Dellien wins

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