Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Name: Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.28K

Events

Markets

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Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Vol

$4.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	78%
Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin	Poly	59%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	57%
Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin	Poly	56%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin	Poly	55%
Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-0.5) vs Martin Landaluce (+0.5)	Poly	50%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	43%
Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	28%
Set Handicap: Ilia Simakin (-1.5) vs Martin Landaluce (+1.5)	Poly	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$4.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Ilia Simakin.

This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Martin Landaluce.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Ilia Simakin.

This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Il"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $90.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Martin Landaluce: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [Ilia Simakin: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martin Landaluce: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Ilia Simakin: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martin Landaluce: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [Ilia Simakin: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Landaluce vs. Simakin: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Ilia Simakin (-1.5) vs Martin Landaluce (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ilia Simakin: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [Martin Landaluce: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-0.5) vs Martin Landaluce (+0.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ilia Simakin: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Martin Landaluce: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Volume$4.28K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

POLYMARKET

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" othe

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5CJon3" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin"></iframe>

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Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

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Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Landaluce vs. Simakin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

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Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Completed Match: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 1 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Set 2 Winner: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Martin Landaluce vs. Ilia Simakin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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