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Event GroupKALSHISports

Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

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Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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18 markets tracked

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	19%
Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	18%
Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	14%
Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	14%
Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	12%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	11%
Tommy Troy: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	8%
Tim Tawa: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	8%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	7%
Gabriel Moreno: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	7%
Miguel Andujar: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	6%
Jake Cronenworth: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	6%
Gavin Sheets: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	5%
Ketel Marte: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	5%
Nolan Arenado: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	4%
Manny Machado: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	4%
Max Kepler: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	4%
Luis Campusano: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

19%

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About This Event

AZ vs SD (Jul 9) If X records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resol

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AZ vs SD (Jul 9)

If X records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resol

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Xander Bogaerts records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Xander Bogaerts is scratched or not included in the start"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Xander Bogaerts: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tommy Troy: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tim Tawa: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Nolan Arenado: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Miguel Andujar: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Max Kepler: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Luis Campusano: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Jake Cronenworth: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Gavin Sheets: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Gabriel Moreno: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Ketel Marte: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Manny Machado: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

Volume$0.00

Markets18

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KALSHI

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Fernando Tatis Jr. is scratched or not included in the

KALSHI

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

If Corbin Carroll records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Corbin Carroll is scratched or not included in the startin

KALSHI

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

If Sung-Mun Song records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Sung-Mun Song is scratched or not included in the starting

KALSHI

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

If Geraldo Perdomo records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Geraldo Perdomo is scratched or not included in the start

KALSHI

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

If Jackson Merrill records 1+ stolen bases in Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jackson Merrill is scratched or not included in the start

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5LFg16" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases"></iframe>

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Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

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Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

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Events (1)

Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

Markets (18)

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

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Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Arizona vs San Diego: Stolen Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ stolen bases?

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

Corbin Carroll: 1+ stolen bases?

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

Sung-Mun Song: 1+ stolen bases?

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Merrill: 1+ stolen bases?

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