Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

American League MVP Finalists

Total Volume

$25.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

American League MVP Finalists

Vol

$25.39K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.39K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.39K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	98%
Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	98%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	69%
Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	46%
Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	9%
Will Pete Alonso be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	5%
Will Dillon Dingler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ceddanne Rafaela be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Zach Neto be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yandy Díaz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Wyatt Langford be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Shea Langeliers be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Roman Anthony be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nick Kurtz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Miguel Vargas be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mike Trout be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Munetaka Murakami be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Maikel Garcia be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Julio Rodríguez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will José Ramírez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jarren Duran be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Gunnar Henderson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Corey Seager be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Cal Raleigh be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Colson Montgomery be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Cody Bellinger be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Byron Buxton be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Adley Rutschman be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Aaron Judge be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$25.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

American League MVP (2026) If X is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** American League MVP Finalists
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** American League MVP (2026)

If X is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Cam Schlittler is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fina"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Zach Neto be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yandy Díaz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wyatt Langford be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shea Langeliers be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Roman Anthony be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Pete Alonso be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Nick Kurtz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Miguel Vargas be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Mike Trout be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Munetaka Murakami be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Maikel Garcia be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Julio Rodríguez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will José Ramírez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jarren Duran be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gunnar Henderson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Dillon Dingler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Corey Seager be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Cal Raleigh be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Ceddanne Rafaela be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $492
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Colson Montgomery be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Cody Bellinger be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Byron Buxton be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Adley Rutschman be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Aaron Judge be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

American League MVP Finalists

Volume$25.39K

Markets30

30 of 30

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Yordan Alvarez is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fina

KALSHI

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Junior Caminero is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fin

KALSHI

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.0¢No 31.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Bobby Witt Jr. is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fina

KALSHI

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Cam Schlittler is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fina

KALSHI

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Ben Rice is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists

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12¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5PC7Zf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="American League MVP Finalists"></iframe>

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Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

American League MVP Finalists

Markets (30)

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

American League MVP Finalists

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Yordan Alvarez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Junior Caminero be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Ben Rice be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season?

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Discussion

Share

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