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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, on
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a regular season National Hockey League game between the New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs, scheduled for March 17 at 7:00 PM Eastern Time at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The market will resolve based on the official result, including any overtime or shootout. If the Islanders win, the market resolves to 'Islanders.' If the Maple Leafs win, it resolves to 'Maple Leafs.' A postponed game will keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation with no makeup game would result in a 50-50 split resolution. This matchup is a notable inter-conference game between two teams with distinct profiles. The Toronto Maple Leafs are a perennial offensive powerhouse and one of the NHL's most valuable franchises, consistently under pressure to perform in the playoffs. The New York Islanders, under coach Patrick Roy, are known for a structured, defensive system. Interest in this market stems from the game's implications for the Eastern Conference playoff race, the stylistic clash between the teams, and the high-profile nature of the Maple Leafs, whose games attract significant betting and prediction market volume.
The rivalry between the Islanders and Maple Leafs dates back to the Islanders' entry into the NHL in 1972, but it lacks the geographic intensity of divisional matchups. Historically, the teams have met in the playoffs only once, in the 1978 Stanley Cup Quarterfinals, where the Maple Leafs won the best-of-three series 2-0. In recent regular season history, the Maple Leafs have generally held an advantage. From the 2017-18 season through the 2022-23 season, Toronto won 10 of the 14 meetings between the two clubs. A notable recent game occurred on November 13, 2023, when the Maple Leafs defeated the Islanders 3-2 in a shootout at UBS Arena. The Islanders' last victory in Toronto was a 3-2 win on February 28, 2022. The broader context involves Toronto's long Stanley Cup drought, which dates to 1967, creating immense pressure on the current core. The Islanders, who won four consecutive championships from 1980 to 1983, have rebuilt into a consistent playoff contender over the past decade, often relying on a defense-first identity contrasting with Toronto's offensive approach.
The outcome of this game has tangible consequences for the NHL's Eastern Conference playoff standings. For the Islanders, every point is critical in a tight wild card race. A regulation win provides two points, while an overtime loss still yields one, affecting their positioning against competitors like Detroit, Washington, and Pittsburgh. For the Maple Leafs, securing home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs is often a goal, making victories against non-divisional opponents important for their point total. Beyond the standings, the game is a major economic event. The Maple Leafs are the NHL's most valuable franchise, worth an estimated $2.8 billion according to Forbes 2023 data. Their home games generate significant revenue for the league and the city of Toronto through ticket sales, broadcasting, and associated commerce. For fans and bettors, the game represents a classic clash of styles, testing whether a high-octane offense can overcome a structured defense, a narrative that fuels discussion and wagering across North America.
As of mid-March 2024, both teams are in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Toronto Maple Leafs are securely in a playoff position, likely finishing third in the Atlantic Division. The New York Islanders are battling for a wild card spot, sitting just a few points ahead of the chasing pack. The Maple Leafs are coming off a 6-2 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers on March 14. The Islanders last played on March 15, defeating the San Jose Sharks 4-0. Both teams are expected to be at or near full health for this matchup, with no major injuries reported to their core players in the days leading up to the game. The scheduling context is notable, as this is the second game of a back-to-back set for the Islanders, who play in Montreal on March 16, while the Maple Leafs will have had two days off.
The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. This is the home arena of the Toronto Maple Leafs. The scheduled puck drop is 7:00 PM Eastern Time.
The national broadcast in the United States will be on ESPN+. In Canada, the game will be broadcast nationally on Sportsnet. Local broadcasts may also be available on MSG for Islanders fans and Sportsnet Ontario for Maple Leafs fans.
Sportsbooks typically list the Toronto Maple Leafs as the moneyline favorite for this home game, often with odds around -160 to -180. The Islanders are the underdog, with odds around +140 to +150. These odds reflect Toronto's strong home record and offensive firepower.
Historically, the Maple Leafs hold a slight edge in the all-time series. According to the NHL's official statistics, entering the 2023-24 season, the Maple Leafs led the regular season series with 112 wins, 96 losses, and 19 ties. The Islanders have 96 wins.
Yes, but only once. They met in the 1978 Stanley Cup Quarterfinals, a best-of-three series. The Toronto Maple Leafs won the series 2-0, sweeping the Islanders. They have not faced each other in the postseason since.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 48% |
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