Name: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca
End: 2026-02-08T20:30:00.000Z

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?	Poly	83%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?	Poly	13%
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?	Poly	4%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 8, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, February 8, 2026 between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC Alverca.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 8, 2026
If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no mak"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $131.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 8, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca

Markets (3)

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?

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