Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$59.77

Events

Markets

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UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Vol

$59.77

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $59.77

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $59.77

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?	Poly	65%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	51%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Tanner Boser win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Tanner Boser win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will Tanner Boser win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Tanner Boser win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	49%
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Poly	32%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$59.77

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner.

If the figh"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Tanner Boser: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Jhonata Diniz: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tanner Boser win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Tanner Boser win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Tanner Boser win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tanner Boser win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume$59.77

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jhonata Diniz defeats Tanner Boser at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqua

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws de

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage,

POLYMARKET

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jhonata Diniz defeats Tanner Boser at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No

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Oct 18, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5RZFdz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Markets (19)

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

Will Jhonata Diniz win by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

Will Jhonata Diniz win in Round 1?

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Discussion

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