GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

S&P close price end of 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

S&P close price end of 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	13%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	13%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	9%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	8%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	5%
Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	4%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be between 6800 and 6999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be between 6200 and 6399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be between 6000 and 6199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8800 and 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 6400 and 6599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 5800 and 5999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 5600 and 5799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 5400 and 5599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 5200 and 5399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 5000 and 5199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 4800 and 4999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 4600 and 4799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 4400 and 4599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 4200 and 4399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%
Will the S&P 500 be between 4000 and 4199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

13%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is X Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** S&P close price end of 2026?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is X Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.

Pursuant to the Kalshi Ruleb"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the S&P 500 be between 8800 and 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the S&P 500 be between 6800 and 6999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the S&P 500 be between 6400 and 6599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the S&P 500 be between 6200 and 6399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the S&P 500 be between 6000 and 6199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the S&P 500 be between 5800 and 5999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the S&P 500 be between 5600 and 5799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the S&P 500 be between 5400 and 5599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the S&P 500 be between 5200 and 5399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the S&P 500 be between 5000 and 5199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the S&P 500 be between 4800 and 4999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the S&P 500 be between 4600 and 4799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the S&P 500 be between 4400 and 4599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the S&P 500 be between 4200 and 4399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the S&P 500 be between 4000 and 4199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

S&P close price end of 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets27

27 of 27

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7800-7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Ka

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7600-7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Ka

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 8000-8199.99, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Ka

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7400-7599.99, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Ka

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 8200-8399.99, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Ka

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

4¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5SgyFL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="S&P close price end of 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

S&P close price end of 2026?

S&P close price end of 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

S&P close price end of 2026?

Markets (27)

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

S&P close price end of 2026?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget