Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Name: #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
End: 2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Vol

$7.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	59%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	39%
Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	4%
Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	4%
Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	2%
Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	1%
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	1%
Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	1%
Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	0%
Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	0%
Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$7.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 12 to October 18, 2026. The "s"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $321
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $394
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $460
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $329
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $355
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $418
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech