Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

New Mexico Attorney General winner?

Total Volume

$19.71K

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Markets

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New Mexico Attorney General winner?

Vol

$19.71K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $19.71K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.71K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?	Kalshi	94%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$19.71K

Volume

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About This Event

In 2026 If a representative X party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close early following the swearing in of the Attorney General for the seat in question.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Mexico Attorney General winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If a representative X party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close early following the swearing in of the Attorney General for the seat in question.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $18.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

New Mexico Attorney General winner?

Volume$19.71K

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.3¢No 5.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full

KALSHI

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Attorney General of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5W-2e7" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New Mexico Attorney General winner?"></iframe>

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New Mexico Attorney General winner?

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Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

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Events (1)

New Mexico Attorney General winner?

Markets (2)

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

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Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New Mexico Attorney General winner?

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

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