Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Prague mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$22.44K

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Prague mayoral election winner?

Vol

$22.44K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.44K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.44K

100%

Kalshi leads

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9 markets tracked

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	94%
Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tereza Nislerová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Milan Urban win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Klára Sovová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jana Komrsková win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$22.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

After the October 2026 election If X wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prague mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** After the October 2026 election

If X wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Václav Láska wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tereza Nislerová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Milan Urban win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Klára Sovová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jana Komrsková win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 10, 2027): Vol $488
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Prague mayoral election winner?

Volume$22.44K

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

If Petr Hlaváček wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

If Jan Hušbauer wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

If Tomáš Portlík wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

If Adam Scheinherr wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

If Václav Láska wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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Prague mayoral election winner?

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Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Prague mayoral election winner?

Markets (9)

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

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Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Prague mayoral election winner?

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election?

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