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Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

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When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

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Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?	Kalshi	19%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?	Kalshi	14%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?	Kalshi	9%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	2%

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Riemann hypothesis If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof, unless the market specifically includes counterexamples. Announcements of

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Riemann hypothesis

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof, unless the market specifically includes counterexamples. Announcements of 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete so"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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KALSHIScience and Technology

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

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KALSHI

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete so

KALSHI

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete so

KALSHI

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete so

KALSHI

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete so

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Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

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Events (1)

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Markets (4)

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

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Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

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When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

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