Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Total Volume
$24.17K
Events
1
Markets
1
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $24.17K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $24.17K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 100% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
100%
Top Probability
$24.17K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs on February 28 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets are essentially saying this game is certain to happen. Traders have collectively priced the contract for "Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs" at a 100% probability. In simple terms, the market believes there is no chance the scheduled college basketball game will be canceled. The significant amount of money wagered indicates strong consensus on this point.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The forecast reflects basic logistics and recent precedent. First, the game is scheduled for a specific date and time, with no public indications from either university or the SEC conference about health issues, weather problems, or other cancellations. Second, college basketball seasons have largely returned to normal operations after the pandemic, making last-minute cancellations far less common than in previous years. Finally, the market rules themselves provide a clear incentive. If the game were canceled with no makeup date, the market would settle as a 50-50 split, creating a major financial opportunity if traders suspected a cancellation. The fact that no one is betting against the game happening is a strong signal that all available information points to it proceeding as planned.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 1:00 PM ET. The only thing that could shift this prediction now would be an official announcement from the teams or the SEC before tip-off stating the game is postponed or canceled. Barring that, the outcome will be settled immediately after the game concludes.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For straightforward logistical events like "will this sports game be played," prediction markets are typically very reliable. They aggregate the knowledge of many participants who are motivated to be correct. The main limitation here is the potential for truly unforeseen, last-minute disruptions. However, the 100% price shows traders view that risk as extremely remote, effectively betting that standard game protocols will hold.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market has resolved with 100% confidence for the "Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs" outcome. This indicates the event has concluded and the result is known. With $24,000 in total volume, the market had relatively thin liquidity, typical for a specific college basketball game. The resolution rules stated that a canceled game would settle 50-50, but the market's full resolution confirms the game was played to completion.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The final odds reflected the actual result of the game played on February 28. Missouri entered this SEC matchup with a 8-19 record, struggling significantly in conference play. Mississippi State, with a 19-10 record, was competing for a stronger postseason position. Historical performance and team rankings heavily favored the Bulldogs, who were also playing at home in Starkville. The market's movement to 100% for one side simply captures the settled fact of which team won, overriding any pre-game probabilistic uncertainty.
What Could Change These Odds
For a resolved market, the odds are fixed. However, analyzing the pre-game context shows why the outcome was probable. Mississippi State's defense, ranked among the top 20 nationally in efficiency, posed a major challenge for a Missouri offense that has been one of the least productive in power-conference basketball. Key players like Mississippi State's center Tolu Smith provided a consistent scoring and rebounding advantage that Missouri lacked. An upset would have required an outlier performance in three-point shooting or a collapse in Mississippi State's defensive discipline, which the market ultimately priced as a low-probability event.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.