Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

Name: Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

Vol

$3.08K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.08K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.08K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?	Poly	29%
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

29%

Top Probability

$3.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. Google's similar product, Gemini Spark, announced on May 19, 2026, is available only on paid Google AI plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google makes Gemini Spark available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. Google's similar product, Gemini Spark, announced on May 19, 2026, is available only on paid Google AI plans.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google makes Gemini Spark available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $426
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech