Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

Crypto Leader - 15 minutes

Total Volume

$90.70

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Markets

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Crypto Leader - 15 minutes

Vol

$90.70

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $90.70

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $90.70

100%

Kalshi leads

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5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)	Kalshi	52%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)	Kalshi	18%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)	Kalshi	17%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)	Kalshi	17%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$90.70

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT If X has the highest return out of BTC, Bitcoin, ETH, Ethereum, SOL, Solana, XRP, Ripple, and HYPE, Hyperliquid, in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return =, Ending Price − Starting Price, / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Crypto Leader - 15 minutes
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT

If X has the highest return out of BTC, Bitcoin, ETH, Ethereum, SOL, Solana, XRP, Ripple, and HYPE, Hyperliquid, in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return =, Ending Price − Starting Price, / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ripple has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $91
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

Crypto Leader - 15 minutes

Volume$90.70

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

If Hyperliquid has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independen

KALSHI

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

If Ripple has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently o

KALSHI

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

If Ethereum has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently

KALSHI

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

If Solana has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently o

KALSHI

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

If Bitcoin has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently

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22¢

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Crypto Leader - 15 minutes

Markets (5)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Crypto Leader - 15 minutes

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (HYPE)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (XRP)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (ETH)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (SOL)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Oct 12 - 4:45PM EDT to 5:00PM EDT? (BTC)

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