Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Name: Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.34K

Events

Markets

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Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Vol

$1.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	83%
Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	61%
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic	Poly	54%
Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	53%
Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic	Poly	50%
Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic	Poly	50%
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	46%
Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	41%
Game Spread: Marin Cilic (-1.5) vs Adam Walton (+1.5)	Poly	40%
Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	32%
Set Handicap: Marin Cilic (-1.5) vs Adam Walton (+1.5)	Poly	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$1.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Marin Cilic.

This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Adam Walton.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Marin Cilic.

This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $85.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Adam Walton: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [Marin Cilic: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Adam Walton: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Marin Cilic: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Adam Walton: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Marin Cilic: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Walton vs. Cilic: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Walton vs. Cilic: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Marin Cilic (-1.5) vs Adam Walton (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marin Cilic: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [Adam Walton: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Marin Cilic (-1.5) vs Adam Walton (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Marin Cilic: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Adam Walton: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Volume$1.34K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to c

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Adam Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Marin Cilic” if Marin Cilic wins the first set. If the ma

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Adam Walton” if Adam Walton wins set 2. It will resolve to “Marin Cilic” if Marin Cilic wins set 2. If the match begins but s

POLYMARKET

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise.

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5lPZL8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic"></iframe>

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Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

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Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Walton vs. Cilic: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Jinan: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Adam Walton vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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