Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Total Volume

$203.34

Events

Markets

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When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Vol

$203.34

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $203.34

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $203.34

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?	Kalshi	43%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?	Kalshi	31%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?	Kalshi	25%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?	Kalshi	20%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$203.34

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2040 If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2040

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $203
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2030): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Volume$203.34

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHITech

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge

KALSHI

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

KALSHITech

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2035 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge

KALSHI

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHITech

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge

KALSHI

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHITech

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge

KALSHI

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHITech

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge

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When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

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Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

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Events (1)

When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Markets (5)

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

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Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

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When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2029?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?

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