Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Name: LoL: Galions vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
End: 2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$46.23

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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Vol

$46.23

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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markets · $46.23

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $46.23

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

37 markets tracked

LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

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Single-Platform Markets(37)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Poly	82%
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner	Poly	74%
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner	Poly	74%
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner	Poly	74%
LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 4 Winner	Poly	74%
Games Total: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	62%
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	52%
Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	38%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$46.23

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "⁠Movistar KOI Fénix" if ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Galions. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix.

This market will resolve to "⁠Movistar KOI Fénix" if ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Galions.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 1 against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix.

This market will resolve to "⁠Movi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Galions: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Galions: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Galions: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 4 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Galions: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Galions: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Games Total: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Games Total: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Volume$46.23

Markets37

37 of 37

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POLYMARKET

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix each destroy at least one

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Oct 14, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/5u26Df" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs"></iframe>

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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

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Events (1)

LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Markets (37)

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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